TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Dak Prescott will achieve 175 or more passing yards in the Tampa Bay vs Dallas professional football game. Currently, the probability of Dak Prescott reaching this milestone on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on official game statistics, as determined by whether Dak Prescott records 175+ passing yards in the Tampa Bay vs Dallas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026. Keep a close eye on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the originally scheduled game date of October 8, 2026, on October 9, 2026.
All markets resolve based on whether the named quarterback achieves the specified passing yard threshold in the Tampa Bay vs Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 8, 2026. If the quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual passing yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all yardage threshold markets for both Dak Prescott and Jalon Daniels, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria for each specified benchmark.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of informed traders. You may find that this market’s probabilities diverge from sportsbook odds, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of expertise among participants and the incentive structure of prediction markets, where accurate forecasts are directly rewarded.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yardage ranges. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market-making system to ensure liquidity and minimize price slippage. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of the expected passing yardage total.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage total for the game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL. Any adjustments or corrections made by the NFL after the initial reporting will be reflected in the resolution of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the most accurate and up-to-date information regarding the game’s statistics.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they indicate strong winds or heavy rain, could also impact passing yardage totals. Pre-game news regarding defensive strategies or play-calling tendencies could also shift expectations. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.