TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks quarterback performance in a specific NFL matchup, focusing on how many passing touchdowns each starting quarterback throws during the game. It allows participants to speculate on offensive productivity and game dynamics between Tampa Bay and Dallas.
All markets resolve based on the total number of passing touchdowns recorded by the named quarterback in the Tampa Bay vs Dallas game scheduled for October 8, 2026. If the quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap — even if that play is nullified by penalty — the outcome is determined solely by the actual number of passing touchdowns recorded during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 1+, 2+, etc.), and the market resolves to 'Yes' only if the quarterback meets or exceeds that threshold. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for both Dak Prescott and Jalon Daniels, ensuring consistent evaluation of performance against predetermined benchmarks.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often incorporating information not immediately apparent in traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market allows anyone to participate and express their view. You may find that prediction market prices are more responsive to breaking news or subtle shifts in public opinion, and can sometimes offer a different perspective on the likely outcome of the Buccaneers vs Cowboys game. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing market dynamics and risk assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where buyers and sellers set the prices for contracts representing different outcomes. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their individual assessments of the probability of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract directly reflects the market's implied probability – a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing system allows for a constantly updated and highly liquid market for predicting the number of passing touchdowns in the Tampa Bay versus Dallas matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official number of passing touchdowns scored by both the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Dallas Cowboys during the game. The final result will be sourced from official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct number of passing touchdowns will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about team strategies or defensive adjustments could influence traders' perceptions of the likely passing touchdown total. Public sentiment and expert analysis, while not directly reflected in the market, can also indirectly affect trading activity and price discovery.