TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 10:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing interceptions in an upcoming football game between Tampa Bay and Dallas. It focuses on specific player performance metrics to determine outcomes based on the number of interceptions each player records during the match.
The event evaluates whether designated players record specified minimum numbers of passing interceptions in the Tampa Bay vs Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for October 8, 2026. Each market corresponds to a particular player and a threshold number of interceptions (1+, 2+, or 3+). If the named player records at least the specified number of interceptions, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule states that if a player is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a player takes at least one snap — even if that snap is nullified by a penalty — the market outcome is determined solely by the actual number of interceptions recorded during their participation in the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for both players, Dak Prescott and Jalon Daniels, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria for each specified interception threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their analysis, while this market’s price is driven by traders actively buying and selling contracts based on their own research and beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome, though this market represents the collective forecast of informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Each contract represents a specific outcome regarding the number of interceptions thrown in the Buccaneers vs Cowboys game. As more traders buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the probability that traders assign to that outcome occurring, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing interceptions thrown during the Tampa Bay Buccaneers versus Dallas Cowboys game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome for all traders participating in this market. The final price will reflect the accuracy of the market’s predictions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding quarterback injuries to key players on either the Buccaneers or the Cowboys would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for passing, could also impact the market. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about defensive strategies or changes in coaching personnel could shift trader sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.