TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

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39,838

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4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Tampa Bay vs Dallas: Passing Completions
kalshi

What is the result of Tampa Bay vs Dallas?

Volume:
$67,457

Jalon Daniels: 18+

 - Kalshi

Jalon Daniels: 18+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 10:48 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jalon Daniels: 18+

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30,883
N/A
N/A
$29,683
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dak Prescott: 23+

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,199
N/A
N/A
$13,801
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dak Prescott: 18+

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,282
N/A
N/A
$3,241
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jalon Daniels: 13+

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,192
N/A
N/A
$3,176
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jalon Daniels: 23+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,685
N/A
N/A
$7,298
Settled
No
kalshi

Dak Prescott: 28+

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,216
N/A
N/A
$4,928
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many times they successfully connect with their receivers. The outcome depends on whether each player meets or exceeds predetermined completion thresholds during the match.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether designated quarterbacks achieve specified passing completion thresholds in the Tampa Bay vs Dallas game scheduled for October 8, 2026. Each market corresponds to a particular player and minimum completion requirement, resolving to Yes if the player meets or exceeds that threshold. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual completions recorded during the game. All markets operate independently, with resolution contingent solely on the defined completion benchmarks for each participant.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL passing completions market tracks the current prices for various completion outcomes in the upcoming Tampa Bay versus Dallas game. You’ll find a real-time view of the market, including the implied probabilities of different completion totals, the total volume traded—currently $67,457—and the 24-hour trading volume, which is $62,490. This allows participants to monitor market sentiment and activity as they assess potential outcomes for this specific matchup.

Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there's significant public interest and trading volume. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful point of comparison for evaluating potential value in this market.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the number of passing completions. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing completions achieved by both teams during the Tampa Bay versus Dallas game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. The market will then settle accordingly, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor either a passing or running game, could also impact prices. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also play a role, influencing the overall direction of this market.