TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of passing attempts made by specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between Tampa Bay and Dallas. Participants can speculate on whether certain players will meet or exceed defined thresholds for their passing attempts during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total passing attempts recorded by the specified quarterback in the Tampa Bay vs Dallas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026. If the named quarterback is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the actual passing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds (29+, 34+, 39+ for Dak Prescott; 23+, 28+, 33+ for Jalon Daniels), ensuring consistent evaluation for each passing attempt benchmark.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market incorporates a broader range of factors as traders react to news, injuries, and other developments leading up to the game. This can sometimes lead to more accurate predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total passing attempts in the Buccaneers vs Cowboys game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing attempt total from the Buccaneers vs Cowboys game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be sourced from official game statistics and will determine which contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual passing attempt total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for different totals will not. The exact payout will depend on the final price of the winning contract at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding quarterback injuries to key players on either the Buccaneers or the Cowboys would likely cause a substantial shift in prices. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to favor either a passing or running game, could also move the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced leading up to the game could also impact trader sentiment. Finally, late-breaking news about player availability or changes in team strategy could all contribute to volatility in this market.