TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:20 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets allow participants to bet on the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Tampa Bay and Dallas. The payouts are directly tied to the players' fantasy points scored during the match, calculated using a standardized scoring system.
Each market operates as a scalar betting contract where the payout for 'Yes' contracts is determined by multiplying the player's Points Per Reception (PPR) fantasy points by $0.01, rounding to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capping the payout between $0.00 and $1.00. The 'No' contract payout is calculated as $1.00 minus the 'Yes' payout. If a player does not have a fantasy-point figure assigned by Sleeper for the specified week, they are considered to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a 'Yes' payout of $0.00 and a 'No' payout of $1.00. All payouts are proportional to the holder's position size. The markets are independent for each player, meaning the outcome for one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NFL, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, leading to odds that can sometimes be more accurate or identify different probabilities than traditional sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to varying information access, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, providing a forward-looking assessment of the potential results of the Buccaneers vs Cowboys game.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final statistical results of the Buccaneers vs Cowboys game, as officially recorded. Specifically, the market will determine which team wins the game, or if the game ends in a tie. The outcome will be determined by the official game statistics and will be verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Buccaneers or the Cowboys would likely cause shifts in the probabilities. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts for the game day, or even significant media coverage impacting public perception could all move the market. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or adjustments to team lineups, are also likely to be reflected in the trading activity. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either team winning will impact the prices within this market.