TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Colorado Avalanche will win their NHL game against the Tampa Bay Lightning. Currently, Kalshi gives Colorado a 99.0% probability of winning, while Tampa Bay is at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Tampa Bay vs Colorado NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on whether the game is played as scheduled, as the market resolves to Yes if Colorado wins the game if it is played within a short window following the originally scheduled date of October 23, 2026, with final resolution expected by October 24, 2026.
The event determines the winner of the NHL game between Tampa Bay and Colorado originally scheduled for October 23, 2026. If either team wins the game as scheduled, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under altered circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. As a result, prediction markets sometimes provide more accurate forecasts, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to unique data, or simply the dynamic nature of trading on Kalshi.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the aggregated view. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The higher the price of a contract, the more confidence the market has in that outcome occurring. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies, creating a dynamic and informative pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the NHL Stanley Cup Finals, determining which team is crowned champion. The market will settle to 100 for the winning team and 0 for all others. Traders should monitor official NHL announcements and reputable sports news sources for the final result, as this will be the basis for the market’s settlement. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries, unexpected coaching changes, or shifts in team performance during the playoffs are all potential catalysts. Major trades leading up to the trade deadline could also reshape team dynamics and influence market prices. Furthermore, any news regarding team morale, internal conflicts, or significant statistical anomalies could prompt traders to adjust their positions. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments in the NHL will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves.