TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:59 PM EST
Kalshi
The event refers to a professional baseball game that may extend beyond its scheduled duration. If the game lasts longer than the standard regulation time, it indicates an additional segment has been played. This extension occurs when the score is tied at the end of the usual playing time, necessitating further competition to determine a winner.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Tampa Bay vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds that are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and marketing considerations, while this market is driven purely by individuals wagering their own capital. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can reveal where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be over or undervaluing certain outcomes, offering potential value for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly. The current market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine whether the Tampa Bay versus Cleveland game goes into extra innings. Resolution will be based on official game results and verified against credible public sources. The market will settle to 100 if the game goes to extra innings, and 0 if it does not. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game result to understand the market's settlement.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding potential starting pitchers, weather conditions impacting the game, or significant injuries to key players could shift the probabilities. Changes in public sentiment, reflected in betting patterns on Kalshi, will also play a role. Unexpected late-breaking news about team strategies or player availability could also cause significant movement. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market and capitalize on new information as it becomes available.