TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Earned Runs
kalshi

Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Earned Runs

Volume:
$303

Parker Messick: 2+

 - Kalshi

Parker Messick: 2+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 8:07 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Parker Messick: 2+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
$129
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Drew Rasmussen: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Parker Messick: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Parker Messick: 4+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
$51
Settled
No
kalshi

Parker Messick: 3+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
No
kalshi

Parker Messick: 5+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
No
kalshi

Drew Rasmussen: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
$14
Settled
No
kalshi

Nick Martinez: 1+

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Nick Martinez: 2+

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Nick Martinez: 3+

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Drew Rasmussen: 3+

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Drew Rasmussen: 4+

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This event tracks the performance of a specific pitcher in an upcoming baseball game between Tampa Bay and Cleveland. The focus is on how many earned runs the pitcher allows during his appearance. Outcomes vary based on whether the pitcher starts the game and how many runs he gives up.

Kalshi

The event evaluates Nick Martinez's earned run performance as a starting pitcher in the Tampa Bay vs. Cleveland game scheduled for October 18, 2026. If Martinez is not a starting pitcher, or if he is scratched, all markets resolve to the fair market price. If Martinez enters the game in relief, these markets also resolve to the fair market price, as relief appearances do not count. For markets to resolve based on earned runs, Martinez must be a starting pitcher and face at least one batter. The resolution depends on whether he allows 1+, 2+, or 3+ earned runs during his start. Kalshi clarifies it has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.