TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Earned Runs
kalshi

Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Earned Runs

Volume:
$2,120

Gavin Williams: 2+

 - Kalshi

Gavin Williams: 2+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 3:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Gavin Williams: 2+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$619
N/A
N/A
$472
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gavin Williams: 1+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$382
N/A
N/A
$382
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Griffin Jax: 1+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$382
N/A
N/A
$382
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Griffin Jax: 2+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$366
N/A
N/A
$344
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Griffin Jax: 3+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$167
N/A
N/A
$167
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gavin Williams: 3+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
$203
Settled
No
kalshi

Gavin Williams: 4+

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

These markets focus on the performance of a specific pitcher, Gavin Williams, in an upcoming baseball game between Tampa Bay and Cleveland. The outcome depends on the number of earned runs he allows if he starts the game. Different thresholds of earned runs determine various market resolutions.

Kalshi

The official rules for these markets dictate that Gavin Williams must be a starting pitcher and face at least one batter for the market to be settled based on earned runs. If Williams is scratched or does not start, all markets resolve to the fair market price. Relief appearances do not count toward any market outcome. The resolution hinges strictly on the number of earned runs Williams allows during his starting appearance, with each market corresponding to a different earned run threshold (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+). Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.