TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 3:39 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the performance of a specific pitcher, Gavin Williams, in an upcoming baseball game between Tampa Bay and Cleveland. The outcome depends on the number of earned runs he allows if he starts the game. Different thresholds of earned runs determine various market resolutions.
The official rules for these markets dictate that Gavin Williams must be a starting pitcher and face at least one batter for the market to be settled based on earned runs. If Williams is scratched or does not start, all markets resolve to the fair market price. Relief appearances do not count toward any market outcome. The resolution hinges strictly on the number of earned runs Williams allows during his starting appearance, with each market corresponding to a different earned run threshold (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+). Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.