TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Chicago over 2.5 points
- Kalshi
Chicago over 2.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 8, 2026
Time left: 06d:07h:41m
$
The market tracks whether Chicago scores above specified point thresholds in the first half of their football game against Tampa Bay. Outcomes depend strictly on points accumulated before halftime.
If Chicago scores over 2.5 points in the 1st half of the Tampa Bay vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chicago scores over 6.5 points in the 1st half of the Tampa Bay vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chicago scores over 9.5 points in the 1st half of the Tampa Bay vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chicago scores over 13.5 points in the 1st half of the Tampa Bay vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chicago scores over 16.5 points in the 1st half of the Tampa Bay vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chicago scores over 19.5 points in the 1st half of the Tampa Bay vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chicago scores over 20.5 points in the 1st half of the Tampa Bay vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chicago scores over 23.5 points in the 1st half of the Tampa Bay vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chicago scores over 27.5 points in the 1st half of the Tampa Bay vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chicago scores over 30.5 points in the 1st half of the Tampa Bay vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tampa Bay scores over 2.5 points in the 1st half of the Tampa Bay vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tampa Bay scores over 6.5 points in the 1st half of the Tampa Bay vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tampa Bay scores over 9.5 points in the 1st half of the Tampa Bay vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tampa Bay scores over 13.5 points in the 1st half of the Tampa Bay vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tampa Bay scores over 16.5 points in the 1st half of the Tampa Bay vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tampa Bay scores over 19.5 points in the 1st half of the Tampa Bay vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tampa Bay scores over 20.5 points in the 1st half of the Tampa Bay vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tampa Bay scores over 23.5 points in the 1st half of the Tampa Bay vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tampa Bay scores over 27.5 points in the 1st half of the Tampa Bay vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tampa Bay scores over 30.5 points in the 1st half of the Tampa Bay vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand from traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of true probabilities as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely result for the Buccaneers vs. Bears first half team totals.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official first half team totals for both the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Chicago Bears will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official statistics recorded by the league and reported by trusted sports news sources. Traders will be able to see the final results and payouts on Kalshi after the game concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Buccaneers or the Bears would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also shift prices. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders could signal shifts in sentiment and cause price fluctuations.