TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Tommy Tremble or Darren Waller will score one or more touchdowns in the Tampa Bay versus Carolina NFL game. Currently, Kalshi gives Tommy Tremble a 13.0% probability of scoring at least one touchdown, while Darren Waller is at 9.0%. The market will resolve based on whether Jalen Coker scores at least one touchdown in the Tampa Bay versus Carolina Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the official injury reports leading up to October 25, 2026, to assess each player’s likelihood of playing and participating in the game.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified player or defensive unit scores at least one touchdown in the Tampa Bay vs Carolina NFL game scheduled for October 25, 2026. If the participant is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap, the market resolves according to whether they score a touchdown, even if the play is later nullified by a penalty. Touchdowns scored during fake punts or field goals by the offensive team are excluded and do not count toward resolving these markets. The markets are independent of each other, each focusing solely on the designated individual's or unit's touchdown performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and analysis. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market odds can shift more rapidly than sportsbook odds, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of the true probabilities as the game approaches. It’s common to see convergence as kickoff nears.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total number of touchdowns scored in the Buccaneers-Panthers game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a market that efficiently aggregates information and forecasts the likely number of touchdowns.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers versus Carolina Panthers game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the market will settle to reflect the actual total touchdowns scored by both teams combined. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions in the market at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key offensive players on either the Buccaneers or the Panthers would be a major catalyst, as would changes in weather forecasts, particularly if conditions are expected to be unfavorable for passing. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or team dynamics could also influence trading activity. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams' offensive capabilities could lead to price movements in this market as traders adjust their predictions.