TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:03 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of defensive players in a specific football game by counting how many times they stop the opposing team's offense behind the line of scrimmage. The outcomes depend on whether particular teams reach certain thresholds of such defensive stops during the match.
All markets resolve based on the official number of sacks recorded by each team during the Tampa Bay vs Carolina Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The resolution hinges solely on the total sacks achieved by each team, with specific markets corresponding to different numerical thresholds for each side.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome or a perceived advantage not yet factored into the sportsbook’s pricing. It’s common to see this market move independently based on new information or shifts in sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves based on supply and demand; if more people buy contracts predicting a higher number of sacks, the price of those contracts will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of sacks in the Tampa Bay versus Carolina game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine the total sacks and therefore the winning contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution of this market. It’s important to note that the resolution is based on official game data, not subjective interpretations.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Tampa Bay or Carolina offensive lines, particularly quarterbacks, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, such as the prediction of heavy rain or strong winds, might also affect the likelihood of sacks. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about defensive strategies or coaching adjustments could impact the market. Unexpected developments in team practice or pre-game analysis could also contribute to price movements.