TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.2b
24H VOL:
$325,717,424
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,125,488
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,014,438,903
422,382
Markets across
39,948
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,398
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Tampa Bay will win their game against Carolina by more than 4.5 points. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 98.0%. The market will resolve based on the result of the Tampa Bay vs Carolina Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, specifically if Carolina wins by more than 20.5 points, the market resolves to Yes. Keep a close eye on the game itself on October 25, 2026, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.
All markets resolve based solely on the final official score of the Tampa Bay vs Carolina Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the winning team exceeds the specified point differential indicated in the market title. If the game is cancelled, forfeited, or otherwise incomplete per official league rules, all markets will be voided. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Often, prediction markets are seen as more accurate forecasts, especially when compared to initial sportsbook lines, as they continue to adjust with new information and evolving sentiment. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a common point of reference for evaluating the market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Tampa Bay versus Carolina spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their forecasts, leading to a real-time assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread will be determined by official game statistics, and it will be verified whether Tampa Bay covered the spread against Carolina. The market will settle based on this official result, and contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score and spread to understand the resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Tampa Bay or Carolina teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread and therefore the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market until resolution.