TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Tampa Bay and Carolina. It focuses on how many rushing yards each designated player accumulates during the match. The outcome depends on whether the player reaches certain yardage thresholds, with financial rewards scaling accordingly.
The event consists of two separate scalar markets, each tied to a different player’s rushing yard performance in the Tampa Bay vs Carolina Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. For each market, Yes contracts pay $0.0025 per rushing yard recorded by the specified player, up to a maximum payout of $1.00, which corresponds to a cap of 400 yards. No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size, meaning that if a player records 80 yards, Yes contracts pay $0.20 and No contracts pay $0.80; at 200 yards, both sides pay $0.50; and if the player records zero yards, Yes pays $0.00 and No pays $1.00. The structure ensures that payouts remain balanced and capped, providing a clear financial incentive based on the player’s performance in the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage tiers. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices tend to converge towards a consensus view. The current prices indicate what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if the actual rushing yards fall within a specific range.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage statistics from the Tampa Bay vs. Carolina game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the officially recorded rushing yards for the game, as reported by the NFL. The market will settle to the yardage tier that encompasses the actual total rushing yards achieved during the game, determining which contracts will pay out to contract holders.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either the Tampa Bay or Carolina teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict inclement conditions, could also shift expectations about running game effectiveness. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about team strategies or defensive matchups could lead to adjustments in traders’ assessments of the likely rushing yardage totals, causing fluctuations in this market.