TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses how many rushing yards specific players will accumulate in an upcoming football game between Tampa Bay and Carolina. Payouts increase progressively with higher yardage thresholds, offering participants a way to speculate on player performance.
Contracts pay out based on the rushing yards achieved by designated players in the specified game, with payouts structured to reward higher yardage achievements. Each Yes contract’s payout scales non-linearly, calculated using a cubic function of the yardage achieved, capped at $1.00. The payout schedule is divided into brackets of ten-yard increments, with values increasing dramatically as yardage rises. A No contract pays the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout, ensuring total returns sum to $1.00 per contract pair. Negative rushing yards result in a $0.00 payout for Yes contracts. The payout formula applies a floor function to ensure precision and consistency in calculations. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe the actual rushing yard total will be higher or lower than the sportsbook’s line, the price will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' capabilities. It’s common to see this market offer insights that diverge from traditional betting odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced as a continuous market, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts at any time until the market closes. The price of a contract represents the probability of that specific rushing yard total occurring. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, which drives price fluctuations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants, offering a real-time forecast of the likely outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Carolina Panthers game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the rushing yard total will receive a payout based on the final price of their contracts at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the game and official statistics as the event unfolds.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if rain or strong winds are predicted, could also shift expectations about rushing yard totals. Pre-game reports on offensive line matchups and defensive strategies could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news about team dynamics or coaching decisions could influence traders' assessments and cause price fluctuations before Oct 25, 2026.