TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 1:59 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how many times a specific player, Chuba Hubbard, carries the ball during a football game between Tampa Bay and Carolina. The outcome depends on whether he reaches certain thresholds of rushing attempts. The rules ensure clarity on how to settle the market if the player doesn't enter the game or if the play is nullified by a penalty.
The markets resolve based on whether Chuba Hubbard records a specified number of rushing attempts (15+, 18+, or 21+) during the Tampa Bay vs Carolina Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 25, 2026. If Hubbard is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Hubbard takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual number of rushing attempts he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets related to Hubbard's rushing attempts in this specific matchup.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set opening lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event draws nearer, we often see prediction market prices converge with, or even anticipate, movements in sportsbook odds. However, it’s not uncommon to see discrepancies, particularly early on, as the market develops its own view of the probability.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total rushing attempts. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe a higher number of rushing attempts will occur, the price of contracts representing that outcome will rise. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards fewer rushing attempts, those contract prices will fall. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing attempts total from the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Carolina Panthers game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as published by a reputable sports data provider, will serve as the source for the resolution. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts after the official statistics are released and verified.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key running backs or offensive linemen on either the Buccaneers or Panthers would be major catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if rain or strong winds are predicted, could impact the teams’ play-calling tendencies and thus the number of rushing attempts. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or personnel decisions could also shift expectations. Finally, any significant line movements in sportsbooks, reflecting new information or betting patterns, could also influence trading activity in this market.