TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming NFL game between Tampa Bay and Carolina. Participants can bet on whether each player will achieve a certain level of receiving yards, with payouts scaling based on the actual yards recorded. The structure allows for nuanced betting on individual player production in a head-to-head matchup.
Contracts in this event resolve based on the receiving yards accumulated by designated players during the Tampa Bay vs Carolina NFL game scheduled for October 25, 2026. For each player market, Yes contracts pay $0.0025 per receiving yard recorded, up to a maximum payout of $1.00, which corresponds to a cap of 400 yards. No contracts pay the remainder of $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are scalar and proportional to the holder's position size, meaning they scale linearly with the number of yards achieved—for instance, 80 yards would yield a Yes payout of $0.20 and a No payout of $0.80, while zero yards would result in a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. All markets operate independently, with each player's performance evaluated separately to determine the resolution of respective Yes and No positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yard ranges for players in the Buccaneers-Panthers game. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the probability that a player will exceed that yardage threshold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as profitable trades depend on correctly predicting the outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a market that efficiently reflects the collective forecast of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics from the Tampa Bay Buccaneers versus Carolina Panthers game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the officially recorded receiving yards for each player, as determined by the league’s official statistics. The final prices will reflect the accuracy of predictions made by traders on Kalshi regarding player performance in this particular contest.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Buccaneers or the Panthers would likely cause substantial price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact passing game strategies and, consequently, receiving yardage totals. Unexpected changes in quarterback performance or defensive schemes could also shift expectations, leading to adjustments in the prices within this market. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or coaching decisions could also play a role.