TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance metrics in an upcoming American football game, focusing on receiving yard thresholds. It examines whether designated players achieve various yardage milestones during the match. The contracts are structured to protect against certain non-participation scenarios while tying payouts to actual game statistics.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but not afterward, the contract resolves to the fair price unless the player meets the specified receiving yards threshold. Actual statistics determine settlement if the player participates in any play after the first half, regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies exclusively to full-game contracts with above or at-least payout criteria. All events consider full game receiving yards, including overtime periods. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the most likely receiving yardage total. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news breaks or as the event approaches. Comparing the two can offer insights into where public and professional opinions diverge regarding the Buccaneers and Panthers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total receiving yardage ranges for the Buccaneers and Panthers. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective prediction. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and provide a forward-looking estimate of the final receiving yardage total.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final receiving yardage statistics for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Carolina Panthers game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The total combined receiving yards achieved by both teams during the game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official NFL statistics will serve as the basis for the resolution, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to wide receivers or tight ends on either the Buccaneers or Panthers would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict heavy rain or strong winds, could affect passing game strategies and influence the total receiving yards. Finally, late-breaking news about defensive schemes or coaching adjustments could also shift trader sentiment and move the price of contracts in this market.