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Closed: Oct 25, 3:53 PM EST
Kalshi
Bryce Young will attempt to surpass various passing yard thresholds in an upcoming NFL matchup between Tampa Bay and Carolina. The game offers multiple benchmarks for his performance, each requiring progressively higher yardage totals.
All markets resolve based on Bryce Young's passing yards in the Tampa Bay vs Carolina game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If Young is active but never takes a snap, markets settle at pre-game fair market prices. Once he takes at least one snap - even if nullified by penalty - markets settle based strictly on actual passing yards recorded during the game.
Generally, prediction markets and sportsbooks often arrive at similar probabilities, but they do so through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to balance their risk, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. You might find that this market offers different probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of expertise among participants and the incentive structure of prediction markets, where accurate predictions are directly rewarded.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yard ranges for the Buccaneers and Panthers. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, these prices fluctuate, providing a real-time signal of expectations. The market efficiently aggregates diverse opinions, offering a unique perspective compared to static odds provided by traditional sources.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official passing yard totals from the Tampa Bay Buccaneers versus the Carolina Panthers game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the final, official statistics reported by the relevant league authorities. The contracts corresponding to the passing yard range that accurately reflects the game's result will be settled at a value of 100.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations about passing yard totals. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive adjustments could also cause traders to reassess their positions. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.