TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 1:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Bryce Young will aim to achieve different levels of passing touchdowns in the same Tampa Bay-Carolina matchup. Each threshold represents a distinct performance level he must reach or exceed through scoring passes.
All markets resolve based on Bryce Young's passing touchdowns in the Tampa Bay vs Carolina game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If Young is active but never takes a snap, markets settle at pre-game fair market prices. Once he takes at least one snap - even if nullified by penalty - markets settle based strictly on passing touchdowns recorded during the game.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. However, initial sportsbook lines may differ from those seen here, as sportsbooks often set lines to attract action on both sides. It's common to see the prediction market odds converge towards a more accurate probability as more information becomes available and more people trade.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth indicates the volume of buy and sell orders at various price points, giving an indication of how easily orders can be filled and how much price movement might occur with larger trades. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored by each team will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official statistics are released. This market offers a way to capitalize on predictions about the game's passing performance.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either the Buccaneers or the Panthers would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to favor passing or running, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected shifts in team strategy or play-calling tendencies, revealed through pre-game reports, might also affect the market. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could create momentum and drive price changes as the game draws nearer.