TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points will be scored by both teams combined in a specific quarter of an upcoming football game. Participants can speculate on whether the total points will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the game's live scoring during that quarter.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both Tampa Bay and Carolina during the second quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market has a different threshold: 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, 10.5, 13.5, 14.5, 17.5, 20.5, 21.5, or 24.5 points. If the combined score exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the second quarter count, and all markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to buy or sell contracts based on their own analysis, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the likelihood of a particular outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the event occurring. For example, a contract priced at 60 means there’s a 60% implied probability of the outcome happening. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price differences. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective belief of the market participants regarding the total points scored in the second quarter of the Buccaneers-Panthers game.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total points scored in the second quarter of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers versus Carolina Panthers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and will determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contract pays out. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result based on the actual game data.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Buccaneers or the Panthers, particularly to quarterbacks or offensive playmakers, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, such as the potential for heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact scoring expectations. Additionally, in-game developments during the first quarter, like a quick scoring drive or a defensive turnover, could shift the market's perception of the likely second-quarter total.