TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:53 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the margin of victory for either Tampa Bay or Carolina during the second quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team to resolve positively.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between Tampa Bay and Carolina during the second quarter of play in their game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team's margin of victory, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward determining the outcome. If the actual point differential meets or exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The markets cover both possible outcomes—Tampa Bay winning by various margins and Carolina winning by various margins—allowing participants to speculate on the exact extent of the winning team's dominance within that specific quarter.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights that differ from traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, allowing bettors to trade on their own assessments and react to breaking news. You may find that the odds on Kalshi diverge from sportsbook lines, particularly as the event approaches and more information—such as injury reports or weather forecasts—becomes available. It’s a different way to approach forecasting the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 2nd quarter spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations, offering a unique perspective on the potential outcome of the game. The current price reflects the collective forecast of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official 2nd quarter spread result from the Tampa Bay Buccaneers versus Carolina Panthers game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the final point differential at the end of the second quarter, as reported by official game statistics. Traders holding contracts aligned with the actual spread will be paid out accordingly, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Buccaneers or the Panthers would likely cause a shift in the spread. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts—perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage—could influence how traders position themselves, impacting the price of contracts in this market.