TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$192,072,993

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,842,388,377

408,027

Markets across

40,419

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Tampa Bay vs Carolina: 1st Touchdown
kalshi

What is the result of Tampa Bay vs Carolina?

Volume:
$199,306

Bucky Irving

 - Kalshi

Bucky Irving - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 1:46 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bucky Irving

View
100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,872
N/A
N/A
$12,360
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Emeka Egbuka

6%
Yes 6¢No 94¢
—
N/A
$79
N/A
N/A
$79
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Chuba Hubbard

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66,243
N/A
N/A
$66,019
Settled
No
kalshi

Brycen Tremayne

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,817
N/A
N/A
$25,817
Settled
No
kalshi

Kameron Johnson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,122
N/A
N/A
$11,122
Settled
No
kalshi

Jalen Coker

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,952
N/A
N/A
$10,949
Settled
No
kalshi

Ted Hurst III

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,623
N/A
N/A
$10,514
Settled
No
kalshi

Trevor Etienne

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,366
N/A
N/A
$9,366
Settled
No
kalshi

Cade Otton

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,367
N/A
N/A
$8,240
Settled
No
kalshi

Darren Waller

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,709
N/A
N/A
$7,706
Settled
No
kalshi

Tommy Tremble

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,434
N/A
N/A
$5,434
Settled
No
kalshi

John Metchie III

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,155
N/A
N/A
$5,155
Settled
No
kalshi

Baker Mayfield

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,650
N/A
N/A
$4,650
Settled
No
kalshi

Bryce Young

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,483
N/A
N/A
$4,483
Settled
No
kalshi

Tetairoa McMillan

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,419
N/A
N/A
$4,371
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Godwin Jr.

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,702
N/A
N/A
$3,699
Settled
No
kalshi

Sean Tucker

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,836
N/A
N/A
$2,836
Settled
No
kalshi

Payne Durham

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,637
N/A
N/A
$1,637
Settled
No
kalshi

Kenny Gainwell

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$939
N/A
N/A
$932
Settled
No
kalshi

TB Buccaneers D/ST

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$494
N/A
N/A
$489
Settled
No
kalshi

Tez Johnson

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$487
N/A
N/A
$484
Settled
No
kalshi

Mitchell Evans

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
$468
Settled
No
kalshi

CAR Panthers D/ST

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$377
N/A
N/A
$374
Settled
No
kalshi

No Touchdown

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
$75
Settled
No
kalshi

Ja'Tavion Sanders

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

This market focuses on predicting which team’s defense will score the first touchdown in an upcoming NFL game. It includes scenarios where no touchdown is scored by either defense. The outcome depends strictly on the scoring sequence during the game, with specific rules for handling special cases like inactive units or nullified plays.

Kalshi

The event determines whether the Carolina Panthers defense, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense, or neither scores the first touchdown in the NFL game scheduled for October 25, 2026. If either defense scores the first touchdown of the game, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If no touchdowns are scored by either defense—and no touchdowns are scored in the game—the No Touchdown market resolves to Yes, and all other markets resolve to No. For markets involving a specific defense, if that unit is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a defense takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on whether that defense scores the first touchdown. Touchdowns scored on fake punts or offensive field goals do not count toward special teams touchdowns. All markets are independent, and the governing rules ensure clarity in edge cases such as inactive units or games with no scoring.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially when incorporating late-breaking information. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each player scoring the first touchdown. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective beliefs of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people believe a particular player is likely to score first, the price of their contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to new information.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player who officially scores the first touchdown in the game, as recorded by official game statistics, will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official game results and any subsequent reviews by the relevant sporting authorities. Any disputes will be settled based on the official game records.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could all cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected starting lineup announcements, particularly at the running back or wide receiver positions, would likely trigger substantial movement. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about a player's health or performance could also influence trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.