TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Tampa Bay vs Carolina: 1st Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Tampa Bay vs Carolina?

Volume:
$29,289

Tampa Bay wins by over 6.5 points

 - Kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 6.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 1:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,858
N/A
N/A
$5,736
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,269
N/A
N/A
$3,389
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 3.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,066
N/A
N/A
$1,981
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,907
N/A
N/A
$5,602
Settled
No
kalshi

Carolina wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,644
N/A
N/A
$3,296
Settled
No
kalshi

Carolina wins by over 6.5 points

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,827
N/A
N/A
$1,807
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,402
N/A
N/A
$1,164
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 17.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$938
N/A
N/A
$938
Settled
No
kalshi

Carolina wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$838
N/A
N/A
$788
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$637
N/A
N/A
$637
Settled
No
kalshi

Carolina wins by over 7.5 points

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$499
N/A
N/A
$499
Settled
No
kalshi

Carolina wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$405
N/A
N/A
$405
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Tampa Bay or Carolina in the first quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team within the first 15 minutes of play.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based solely on the point differential between Tampa Bay and Carolina during the first quarter of their scheduled game on October 25, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold that must be surpassed by the winning team's score advantage to resolve as 'Yes'. For Carolina to win by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, or 3.5 points, or for Tampa Bay to win by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points in that quarter, the respective market resolves positively. Only points scored during the first quarter count, and all markets operate independently — meaning a single game's outcome can trigger multiple 'Yes' resolutions if multiple thresholds are met. The markets are strictly concerned with the score difference at the end of the first quarter, regardless of overall game results.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Buccaneers-Panthers 1st quarter spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter of the game. You can view the trading volume over the past 24 hours, which is currently $28,736, and the total overall volume, standing at $29,289. The dashboard also displays the implied probabilities based on the current market prices, offering a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of various outcomes for this specific market. This allows you to monitor the market’s movement and potential shifts in sentiment.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially set the spread based on statistical models and team news, this market can quickly adjust to incorporate insights that aren’t immediately reflected in sportsbook lines. It’s common to see differences in probabilities and implied outcomes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Buccaneers-Panthers 1st quarter spread. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are essentially betting on their forecast, and the market price aggregates these individual predictions into a single, dynamic probability assessment. The more traders believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual point spread achieved in the first quarter of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers versus Carolina Panthers game. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to view the final outcome and settlement details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the first quarter and official data verification.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Buccaneers or the Panthers would likely cause movement, as would updates on weather conditions expected during the game. Significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or breaking news, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected changes in team strategy or coaching decisions announced leading up to kickoff could also cause the market to react. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of different point spreads has the potential to move this market.