TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Tampa Bay vs Carolina: 1st Half Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Tampa Bay vs Carolina?

Volume:
$143,639

Tampa Bay wins by over 6.5 points

 - Kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 6.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 2:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,714
N/A
N/A
$8,928
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 10.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,946
N/A
N/A
$7,612
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 14.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,725
N/A
N/A
$7,115
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 4.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,876
N/A
N/A
$3,492
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 20.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,625
N/A
N/A
$3,344
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 17.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,713
N/A
N/A
$4,006
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 16.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,362
N/A
N/A
$3,352
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,750
N/A
N/A
$2,692
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 23.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,613
N/A
N/A
$2,939
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 7.5 points

100%
85%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,893
N/A
N/A
$2,476
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 9.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,526
N/A
N/A
$1,688
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 13.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,269
N/A
N/A
$1,261
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 3.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,596
N/A
N/A
$1,507
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Carolina wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,805
N/A
N/A
$32,535
Settled
No
kalshi

Carolina wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,886
N/A
N/A
$15,430
Settled
No
kalshi

Carolina wins by over 4.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,542
N/A
N/A
$6,167
Settled
No
kalshi

Carolina wins by over 13.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,304
N/A
N/A
$1,301
Settled
No
kalshi

Carolina wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$756
N/A
N/A
$674
Settled
No
kalshi

Carolina wins by over 9.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$661
N/A
N/A
$613
Settled
No
kalshi

Carolina wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$634
N/A
N/A
$533
Settled
No
kalshi

Carolina wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$442
N/A
N/A
$441
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Tampa Bay or Carolina during the first half of their football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the point differential by which either Tampa Bay or Carolina wins the first half of the designated game. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning margin, ranging from narrow to substantial point differences. If the actual margin exceeds the threshold specified in a market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the first half of play are considered for resolution. The markets cover a spectrum of possible outcomes, allowing participants to bet on various degrees of dominance by either team in the opening half of the contest.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Buccaneers vs. Panthers spread tracks the current price of contracts predicting the outcome of the first half spread. You can view the historical price movement, allowing you to analyze how the market has reacted to news and information. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $137,062, and the total overall volume traded, which is $143,639. This provides insight into market activity and interest in this particular event.

Generally, prediction markets and sportsbooks often arrive at similar probabilities, but they do so through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to balance their risk, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional sportsbooks.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Buccaneers vs. Panthers spread. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what percentage of the spread traders believe will be the result at the end of the first half. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the first half of the Buccaneers vs. Panthers game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Buccaneers or the Panthers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching decisions or team strategies could impact trader sentiment. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could also signal a shift in expectations and move the market.