TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:53 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific combinations of first-half and full-game outcomes in an upcoming football match. Each market requires both the first-half result and the final game result to match a predetermined scenario for resolution. The events cover various possible scenarios, including wins by either team or a tie in either segment.
The markets resolve based on the combined results of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the Tampa Bay vs Carolina Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. For a market to resolve to 'Yes,' both the specified first-half result and the specified full-game result must occur exactly as described. If either the first-half or full-game result does not match the market's conditions, the market resolves to 'No.' If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original schedule time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official results. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the markets resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent, each requiring a specific pairing of first-half and full-game outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook’s odds are mispriced. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and each has its own strengths and weaknesses in forecasting the result of the Tampa Bay vs Carolina game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders are constantly evaluating factors like team performance, injuries, and news to inform their trading decisions, driving price discovery in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tampa Bay vs Carolina game, specifically the first half and full-time result as determined by official league sources. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Tampa Bay or Carolina teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, coaching decisions, or even pre-game reports about team morale could also influence trading activity. Major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also drive movement. Ultimately, any new information that alters the perceived probabilities of either team winning will likely be reflected in the price of contracts in this market.