TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:04 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting which Carolina player will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game against Tampa Bay. Each market is tied to a specific player or the defense, with outcomes determined by game events.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified Carolina player scores the first touchdown of the game. If the designated player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once the player takes a snap, resolution depends solely on whether they score the first touchdown. If no Carolina touchdowns occur, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all player-specific markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all player and defense markets, ensuring consistent resolution criteria for each potential scorer.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what is readily available to sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, as traders seek to profit from discrepancies between the two types of odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each player scoring the first Carolina touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that player's chances. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of perceived probabilities. The market's depth and liquidity are influenced by the level of interest in the event and the number of active traders.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player scored the first touchdown for the Carolina team in the game against Tampa Bay. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an objective and accurate determination of the outcome. The platform will verify the result against established sources to finalize the settlement of contracts.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key Carolina offensive players, particularly running backs or wide receivers, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, especially conditions that favor a running or passing game, could also influence the market. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports analysts, and even social media sentiment, can contribute to price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions about who is most likely to score the first touchdown.