TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 1:45 AM EST
Predict
In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees, scheduled for October 8 at 3:33AM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees, scheduled for October 8 at 3:33AM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of bettors who have ‘skin in the game’. You may find that this market’s probabilities diverge from sportsbook odds due to differing information or analytical approaches. Polls and analyst predictions also frequently differ from both, offering a broader range of perspectives on the likely result of the Rays-Yankees game.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the game, and the prices of these contracts determine the implied probabilities. As more people trade, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving expectations of the crowd. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe the Rays will win, they will buy ‘Rays win’ contracts, driving up the price and increasing the implied probability of that outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tampa Bay Rays versus New York Yankees game. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on publicly available data. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in starting pitchers, or weather forecasts could shift the probabilities. Unexpected lineup announcements or reports on team morale could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, as the game approaches, any public statements from managers or players could be interpreted as signals and move the market. Major shifts in public sentiment, even those unrelated to baseball specifics, can also affect volume and price.