TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 11:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees, scheduled for October 7 at 3:33AM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees, scheduled for October 7 at 3:33AM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective forecast of informed traders. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional betting markets, especially when considering the incentives of participants. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for understanding public perception and comparing to the insights generated by traders on Predict. It’s common to see differences, particularly as new information emerges.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous process of buying and selling shares representing different outcomes. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the price adjusts based on supply and demand. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all traders participating in this market, offering a dynamic and real-time prediction of the game’s outcome. The market's efficiency depends on active participation and the quality of information available to traders.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Tampa Bay Rays versus New York Yankees game. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on publicly available data. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly shift the odds in this market. Key player injuries to either the Rays or the Yankees would undoubtedly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected pitching changes or weather forecasts affecting game conditions could also cause movement. News regarding team morale, recent performance trends, or even strategic lineup adjustments could influence trader behavior. Any significant development related to the teams or the game itself has the potential to alter the market’s assessment and lead to price fluctuations before Oct 8, 2026.