TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 12:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total runs scored in the first 5 innings of the Tampa Bay Rays versus New York Yankees game will be over or under 3.5. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5” resolving as true. Resolution will be based on the official score data from https://www.mlb.com/scores. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 7 at 3:33AM ET, as the outcome of this market will depend on the actual runs scored during that contest.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees, scheduled for October 7 at 3:33AM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, varying levels of expertise among bettors, and the potential for market manipulation, though Polymarket actively monitors for such activity. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined by supply and demand; if more traders believe the Rays will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Rays-Yankees game.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Rays-Yankees game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning share(s) in this market. Resolution will be based on the official game result, including any potential postponements or cancellations that are officially recorded. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game outcome to understand when this market will be settled.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or starting pitcher changes for either the Rays or the Yankees would likely cause a shift in the odds. Weather forecasts, particularly if they predict significant disruptions to playing conditions, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news related to team morale or managerial decisions could also move the market. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could signal changing sentiment and cause price fluctuations in this market.