TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 5:48 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-10-24 00:00 UTC: If the Tampa Bay Rays win, the market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". If the Milwaukee Brewers win, the market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-10-24 00:00 UTC: If the Tampa Bay Rays win, the market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". If the Milwaukee Brewers win, the market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge, prediction markets can sometimes become more accurate as the event approaches, incorporating a wider range of perspectives and data points than a single sportsbook might consider.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. Conversely, if traders believe an outcome is unlikely, the price will fall. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, creating a constantly evolving assessment of the game’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Tampa Bay Rays versus Milwaukee Brewers game, as reported by a major sports data provider. The platform will verify the final score and declare a winning outcome based on that information. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence this market between now and Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Rays or the Brewers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in starting pitchers, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even unexpected lineup announcements could all shift trader sentiment. Additionally, broader baseball news, such as a team’s recent performance or a shift in overall league standings, could also play a role. Unexpected developments during the game itself, even early in the contest, could also lead to rapid price adjustments.