TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:37 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-10-18 00:00 UTC: If the Tampa Bay Rays win, the market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". If the Cleveland Guardians win, the market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-10-18 00:00 UTC: If the Tampa Bay Rays win, the market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". If the Cleveland Guardians win, the market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. While there can be alignment, differences often emerge due to varying information and biases. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the Rays and Guardians.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of the traders regarding the probability of that outcome occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds continuously adjust to incorporate new information and changing perspectives on the Rays-Guardians game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Tampa Bay Rays versus Cleveland Guardians game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted source, ensuring a fair and accurate determination of the market's outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in starting pitchers, or weather forecasts could cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or performance analyses from respected baseball analysts could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Opinion itself can create momentum and move the market, especially as the game approaches and more information becomes available about the Rays and Guardians.