TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
Total volume:
$1,409,295
Volume 24h:
$707,745
65,236%
Liquidity:
$56,819
11%
Open interest:
$599,536
2,246%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET. Markets track both the game winner and subsidiary outcomes like first-inning scoring. The group includes related markets across multiple prediction platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market definition contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Boston win and Tampa Bay win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket and Predict maintain consistent binary logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The resolution criteria violates basic binary logic - both teams cannot win simultaneously. Request clarification from Kalshi before engaging. Polymarket and Predict markets are logically sound and can be traded with confidence using official MLB statistics as the resolution source.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all market. Resolves to Tampa Bay Rays if they win, Boston Red Sox if they win. Cancellation/tie/no makeup resolves 50-50. Primary source: official MLB final statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Tampa Bay Rays if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to Boston Red Sox if the Boston Red Sox win the game.'
- Predict: Identical binary logic to Polymarket. Resolves to Tampa Bay Rays if they win, Boston Red Sox if they win. Cancellation/tie/no makeup resolves 50-50. Primary source: official MLB final statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Tampa Bay Rays if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to Boston Red Sox if the Boston Red Sox win the game.'
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory definition. States both 'If Boston wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Tampa Bay wins...resolves to Yes', creating an impossible scenario where every outcome resolves Yes. No distinction between outcomes is possible. Key quote: 'If Boston wins the Tampa Bay vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tampa Bay wins the Tampa Bay vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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