TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 5:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kasidit Samrej and Koki Matsuda in the Taipei, Chinese Taipei, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:40AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kasidit Samrej' if Kasidit Samrej advances against Koki Matsuda. This market will resolve to 'Koki Matsuda' if Koki Matsuda advances against Kasidit Samrej. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kasidit Samrej and Koki Matsuda in the Taipei, Chinese Taipei, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:40AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kasidit Samrej' if Kasidit Samrej advances against Koki Matsuda. This market will resolve to 'Koki Matsuda' if Koki Matsuda advances against Kasidit Samrej. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies purely on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd and the experts disagree.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kasidit Samrej vs Koki Matsuda match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution for each possible result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Kasidit Samrej vs Koki Matsuda match, as determined by the relevant boxing authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome of the fight.
Several signals could influence the price action in this market. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, health, or potential injuries would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected announcements about changes to the fight’s location or rules could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, analysis from boxing experts, public polls, and even social media discussions can all contribute to changes in the market’s pricing. As the fight draws closer, even minor updates could trigger substantial movements in the shares representing different outcomes.