TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jake Delaney and Kai-I Wang in the Taipei, Chinese Taipei, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:50AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jake Delaney' if Jake Delaney advances against Kai-I Wang. This market will resolve to 'Kai-I Wang' if Kai-I Wang advances against Jake Delaney. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jake Delaney and Kai-I Wang in the Taipei, Chinese Taipei, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:50AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jake Delaney' if Jake Delaney advances against Kai-I Wang. This market will resolve to 'Kai-I Wang' if Kai-I Wang advances against Jake Delaney. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by trader predictions, aiming for a more accurate reflection of true probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and opinions emerge, potentially revealing discrepancies between public perception and professional assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing system. This reflects the wisdom of the crowd, aggregating diverse perspectives into a single probability assessment.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Delaney vs Wang fight as declared by the relevant sporting authorities. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also prompt adjustments in this market. Public analysis from boxing experts and any shifts in perceived fighter form are also likely to impact trading activity and, consequently, the market’s pricing. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning has the potential to move the market.