TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between Hou Chun Chien and Kaichi Uchida in the Taipei, Chinese Taipei, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 11:20PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hou Chun Chien' if Hou Chun Chien advances against Kaichi Uchida. This market will resolve to 'Kaichi Uchida' if Kaichi Uchida advances against Hou Chun Chien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hou Chun Chien and Kaichi Uchida in the Taipei, Chinese Taipei, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 11:20PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hou Chun Chien' if Hou Chun Chien advances against Kaichi Uchida. This market will resolve to 'Kaichi Uchida' if Kaichi Uchida advances against Hou Chun Chien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. Currently, the market indicates a strong likelihood of one candidate winning, with the price reflecting that probability. The volume traded provides insight into the level of confidence behind these predictions.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results announced by the relevant electoral authorities following the Taipei mayoral election. The candidate who receives the most votes will be declared the winner, and that outcome will determine the settlement of this market. Traders should monitor official news sources for the final results and confirmation of the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Major developments in the candidates’ campaigns, such as significant policy announcements or endorsements, could certainly have an impact. Unexpected events, like scandals or controversies, could also cause the market to react. Public opinion polls released between now and the election will likely be closely watched by traders, and any significant shifts in polling data could move the market. Finally, any news regarding voter turnout or potential irregularities could also influence trading activity in this market.