TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dimitris Sakellaridis and Yuta Shimizu in the Taipei, Chinese Taipei, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 11:10PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dimitris Sakellaridis' if Dimitris Sakellaridis advances against Yuta Shimizu. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Shimizu' if Yuta Shimizu advances against Dimitris Sakellaridis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dimitris Sakellaridis and Yuta Shimizu in the Taipei, Chinese Taipei, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 11:10PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dimitris Sakellaridis' if Dimitris Sakellaridis advances against Yuta Shimizu. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Shimizu' if Yuta Shimizu advances against Dimitris Sakellaridis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money bets and the insights of individuals actively trading on Polymarket. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, though this isn't always the case.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current top outcome, as indicated by share price, is determined entirely by supply and demand within the Polymarket market.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Yuta Shimizu match, as reported by a trusted source for professional tennis results. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result of the match. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either Dimitris Sakellaridis or Yuta Shimizu might also impact their perceived chances of success. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket from informed traders could cause rapid price movements, reflecting new information or strategic positioning. Overall, any development that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely move this market.