TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 9:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Venezuela's Liga FUTVE between Tachira and Monagas. Bettors can speculate on which team will win the match after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If the game ends in a tie, a separate market will resolve positively.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Tachira vs Monagas professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer match scheduled for October 27, 2026: a win for Tachira, a win for Monagas, or a tie, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its corresponding outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes,' while the 'Tachira' and 'Monagas' markets resolve to 'No.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event explicitly excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result after regular time including stoppage minutes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin, whereas this market’s pricing is purely demand-driven. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will move accordingly. This can sometimes lead to prediction markets offering more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Tachira vs Monagas match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds based on their own analysis, information, and expectations, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. The more contracts purchased for a specific outcome, the higher its price will climb, indicating increased confidence in that result.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tachira vs Monagas match, as declared by the governing sporting body. The final score and any official rulings will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the pricing of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or broader shifts in public perception, might also impact the market. Furthermore, large-volume trades by individual participants or groups could create noticeable price movements, reflecting a strong conviction about a particular outcome.