TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 3:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the cricket match between Bhutan and Mongolia scheduled for October 7 2026 at 9:15 PM ET in T20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier A. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the cricket match between Bhutan and Mongolia scheduled for October 7 2026 at 9:15 PM ET in T20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier A. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Comparing prediction market odds to those offered by sportsbooks reveals how collective intelligence differs from traditional oddsmaking. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ potential. If a significant difference exists, it may indicate an opportunity for arbitrage, where traders can profit by exploiting the price difference between the two venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Bhutan vs Mongolia cricket match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more responsive the price will be to new information and developments. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Bhutan vs Mongolia cricket match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The market will determine which team won the match, based on standard cricket scoring rules. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or weather forecasts impacting playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches within the qualifying tournament could also influence perceptions of each team's strength. Furthermore, any public statements from team officials or analysts offering insights into team strategy or player form could cause fluctuations in the price of shares in this market.