TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 2:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Warriors and Lions scheduled for October 4 2026 at 4:00 AM ET in T20 Series South Africa, Women. The outcome corresponding to Warriors will be considered correct if Warriors is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Lions will be considered correct if Lions is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Warriors and Lions scheduled for October 4 2026 at 4:00 AM ET in T20 Series South Africa, Women. The outcome corresponding to Warriors will be considered correct if Warriors is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Lions will be considered correct if Lions is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and reflects the collective expectations of participants regarding the upcoming T20 toss.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of the toss in the South Africa T20 series between the Warriors and the Lions will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official announcement made by the match officials, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders should monitor official sources for the toss result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, potential weather conditions that might affect the toss, or changes in team strategies could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or pitch conditions could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could temporarily shift the odds, as others react to their actions. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.