TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
T1
- Kalshi
T1 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 6, 2026
Time left: 03d:21h:50m
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This market centers on predicting the winner of a specific League of Legends match between T1 and Karmine Corp scheduled for early November 2026. The outcome depends solely on which team claims victory in the second game of their best-of-series matchup during the Worlds 2026 tournament. The result is determined immediately when the match concludes, with no extensions beyond the official game time.
If T1 wins game 2 in the Worlds 2026: T1 vs. Karmine Corp League of Legends match originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes. If Karmine Corp wins game 2 in the Worlds 2026: T1 vs. Karmine Corp League of Legends match originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as an event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the beliefs of informed traders. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value before the prediction market fully incorporates all available information. It's common to see the odds on Kalshi converge with sportsbook lines as the event draws nearer, but discrepancies can still arise due to differing market participants and information access.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity provide insights into the collective assessment of the event’s potential results, allowing traders to capitalize on perceived mispricings.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of Game 2 between T1 and Karmine Corp, as declared by the League of Legends tournament organizers. The winning team as determined by the official game results will be the outcome used for settlement. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not. The market’s outcome is based on the official, publicly available results.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either T1 or Karmine Corp could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. In-game performance during the series, such as early game advantages or specific champion picks, could also drive price movements. Additionally, broader shifts in public sentiment, analyst predictions, or even high-profile streamer opinions could contribute to changes in volume and pricing on Kalshi before the event concludes.