TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
T1
- Kalshi
T1 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 6, 2026
Time left: 04d:04h:33m
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This market focuses on predicting the winner of the first game in an upcoming professional League of Legends match between two teams. The outcome depends solely on which team secures victory in that specific game, under the official rules of the tournament. It reflects the competitive balance and strategies likely to be employed by each team in the opening phase of their matchup.
If T1 wins game 1 in the Worlds 2026: T1 vs. Karmine Corp League of Legends match originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes. If Karmine Corp wins game 1 in the Worlds 2026: T1 vs. Karmine Corp League of Legends match originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant difference exists between the two, it could indicate that prediction market participants have access to information or insights not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a major event like this one, as traders weigh various factors influencing the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information emerges and traders update their assessments of the likely winner of Game 1 between T1 and Karmine Corp. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of Game 1 between T1 and Karmine Corp is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official game results as reported by the League of Legends tournament organizers. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to finalize the market and distribute payouts to winning contract holders. Traders should monitor official sources for the official result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player health, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either T1 or Karmine Corp would likely cause price movement. Major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by analyst predictions or community discussions, could also influence trading activity. Additionally, performance in preceding matches or practice sessions, if publicly disclosed, could shift trader confidence and alter the odds. Ultimately, any information that changes perceptions of each team’s chances of winning will likely move this market.