TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market represents a different scoring threshold for a team, allowing participants to speculate on whether the team will exceed that specific point total.
All markets resolve based on the official final point total scored by each team in the Syracuse vs Virginia college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For any market, if the specified team scores strictly more than the listed threshold (e.g., over 9.5 points), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular team total being exceeded. It's a valuable comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform, providing a forward-looking assessment of the game's potential scoring.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the Syracuse vs Virginia game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics reported by the governing body of college basketball, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the results. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased contracts align with the actual team totals achieved in the game.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to game time. Injury reports for key players on either Syracuse or Virginia are major catalysts, as they directly impact expected scoring. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect playing style, can also move the market. Late-breaking news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also cause shifts in trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public information released about team morale or preparation could influence the perceived probabilities and, consequently, the prices in this market.