TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Virginia will win the college football game against Syracuse by more than 1.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives Virginia winning by over 1.5 points a 60.0% probability. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Syracuse vs Virginia game originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Virginia wins by more than 27.5 points, with final settlement expected around the resolution date of October 11, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Syracuse vs Virginia college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For Virginia markets, resolution occurs if Virginia wins by more than the specified point differential. For Syracuse markets, resolution occurs if Syracuse wins by more than the specified point differential. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds, but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their predictions. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome of the game or differing assessments of potential risks. It’s common to see the market adjust as new information becomes available, potentially leading to convergence with sportsbook odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads in the Syracuse vs Virginia game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the likely spread. As more trades occur, the price converges towards a consensus view.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Syracuse vs Virginia game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a spread that matches the final result will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome based on the actual game results.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Syracuse or Virginia teams would likely impact the spread and trading activity. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected lineup adjustments could also influence predictions. Furthermore, significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or updated power rankings, could sway market sentiment. Finally, even the release of advanced statistical data or weather forecasts impacting game conditions could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.