TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire match, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.
The market determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Syracuse vs. Virginia college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Virginia scores first, Syracuse scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown at all. All types of touchdowns—including offensive, defensive, and special teams plays—are counted, and scores occurring in overtime still count toward the outcome. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains active and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. The market explicitly covers the full game duration, including any overtime periods, ensuring comprehensive coverage of all potential scoring scenarios.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or as public perception shifts regarding the game’s likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract indicates the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. For example, a contract priced at 60 means it costs $60 to purchase, implying a 60% chance of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of each team scoring the first touchdown. The market dynamically updates as new information and opinions are incorporated.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team officially scores the first touchdown in the Syracuse vs Virginia game, as recorded by official game statistics. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts for the team that scores first will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts for the losing team will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding key player injuries on either the Syracuse or Virginia teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s offensive style, could also shift the market. Updates on team practice reports, coaching decisions, or even public sentiment expressed through social media or sports analysts could all contribute to price fluctuations. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market.