TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points are scored in the final quarter of a college football game between Syracuse and Virginia. Each market corresponds to a different scoring threshold, allowing participants to speculate on whether the combined score will exceed specific values.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by both teams during the 4th quarter of the Syracuse vs Virginia college football game scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. For each market, if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., 2.5, 5.5, up to 27.5 points), it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of many individuals rather than relying on a single bookmaker's assessment. However, sportsbook odds often set the initial baseline for where this market begins trading. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, and incentives between the two types of markets. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly as new information becomes available, potentially diverging from sportsbook lines if traders believe they have identified a mispricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential point totals for the Syracuse vs Virginia 4th quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time view of expectations. The closer we get to the game, the more the price will likely reflect the perceived certainty of the final score.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 4th quarter of the Syracuse vs Virginia game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual 4th quarter total will be paid out according to the market’s pricing at resolution. It’s important to monitor the game closely as the end approaches to understand potential impacts on the final result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Syracuse or Virginia would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they impact scoring, could also move the market. In-game performance during the first three quarters will heavily influence expectations for the fourth, leading to adjustments in contract prices. Late-breaking news or even significant momentum shifts during the game itself could create volatility and trading opportunities up until resolution.