TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points are scored in a specific quarter of a college football game between Syracuse and Virginia. Participants predict whether the combined score will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of difficulty for forecasting the game's intensity in that quarter.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the third quarter of the Syracuse vs Virginia college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined third-quarter points exceed the stated threshold (e.g., 2.5, 5.5, up to 27.5 points), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points officially recorded during the third quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the threshold selected.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the wisdom of the crowd and allows traders to directly express their beliefs. As a result, you may find that prediction market prices are more sensitive to news and developments that impact the perceived probability of a particular outcome. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available and the event draws closer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the Syracuse vs Virginia 3rd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability that outcome will occur, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards a collective prediction. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 3rd quarter of the Syracuse vs Virginia game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will settle to 100 if the total points scored in the 3rd quarter fall within the range defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Syracuse or Virginia would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market price. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also play a role. Furthermore, public perception and betting trends in traditional sportsbooks could indirectly influence trading activity on Kalshi, leading to price adjustments as traders react to the broader market sentiment.