TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Syracuse or Virginia in the second half of their college football matchup. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered successful.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Syracuse vs Virginia college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For markets where Virginia is the favored team, resolution occurs if Virginia wins the second half by more than the specified point margin. Conversely, markets favoring Syracuse resolve if Syracuse wins the second half by more than the designated margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds listed.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes offering more accurate probabilities, particularly as the event approaches. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially diverging from initial sportsbook offerings.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second half of the Syracuse vs Virginia game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Syracuse or Virginia teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team strategy or unexpected lineup adjustments could also impact the perceived probability of different outcomes. Furthermore, real-time performance during the first half of the game, and even broader basketball news, could all contribute to shifts in trading activity and price adjustments within this market.