TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points are scored in the first quarter of a college football game between two teams. Each market has a different threshold for the total points that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a success.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of the Syracuse vs Virginia college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points); if the combined score exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the first quarter count toward these outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks establish odds based on their models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move in ways that anticipate shifts in sportsbook lines as new information becomes available, or as public sentiment changes. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing market participants and risk tolerance.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible total point outcomes for the Syracuse vs Virginia 1st quarter. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of those trading on the platform, and is constantly updated based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total points scored in the first quarter of the Syracuse vs Virginia game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect totals will not. The market’s final price will reflect the actual result of the first quarter.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Syracuse or Virginia would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also play a role. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations and move the price accordingly.